Thursday, October 20, 2011

KC Controls Their Destiny

With the loss by Philadelphia tonight, Sporting KC now control their own fate when it comes to winning the Eastern Conference. No matter by how much on Saturday, KC win and they clinch the Eastern Conference. There are still ways that KC can tie and even lose and still win the East. I think I got all the scenarios down, here's a look at where Sporting KC fan finish and how.

First place
KC Win
KC draw and Columbus draw or loss (Houston result doesn't matter as KC owns tie breaker on Dynamo)
KC loses by 1 goal and Columbus loses, and Houston does not win.

Second place
KC draws with DC and Columbus wins. (Columbus wins the East).
KC lose by 1 goal to DC and Columbus wins and Houston does not win. (Columbus wins the East)
KC lose by more than 1 goal and Columbus loses and Houston does not win. (Philadelphia wins the East).
KC lose by 1 goal and Columbus does not win and Houston wins (Houston wins the East).

Third place
KC loses by more than 1 goal, Columbus wins, and Houston does not win. (1. Columbus, 2. Philadelphia).
KC loses by more than 1 goal, Columbus loses and Houston wins. (1. Houston, 2. Philadelphia).
KC loses by 1 goal, Columbus wins, and Houston wins. (1. Columbus, 2. Houston).
KC loses by 1 goal, Columbus draws, and Houston wins. (1. Houston, 2. Columbus).

8th seed (2nd Wild Card)
KC loses by more than 1, Columbus does not lose, Houston wins, and Colorado loses.

9th seed (3rd wild card)
KC loses by more than 1, Columbus does not lose, Houston wins, and Colorado wins.

2 comments:

Aaron said...

It's pretty crazy that we could lose 2-0 on the road in the last game of the season and go from conference champs to the 9th place wildcard.

Anonymous said...

Also interesting that the second seed might be a better path than winning outright. If we finish second, we get a bye, then home advantage against Houston/Philly. If we win the conference, we get a bye, but then get home field advantage against the best remaining wild card team.